Framework for Country Risk Analysis: FATF

 

Country Risk Analysis has got two perspectives:

1. How another nation looks at a nation; example any International body or country wants to know how good is India  for doing business with .This is external evaluation of India by that organisation or country. This kind of analysis is referred in this blog as Country Risk Analysis

2. How national Govt evaluate its own risk ; example India wants to know how best it is expressed to other nations about doing business. This is internal evaluation of India. This type of analysis is referred  in this blog as National Risk Analysis 

FATF has come up with a standard framework for evaluation that can be understood universally whether it is external or internal evaluation.

A country's efforts in developing sound laws and regulations and implementing and enforcing them should focus on one goal, the high-level objective of an effective AML/CFT framework:


Financial systems and the broader economy are protected from the threats of money laundering and the financing of terrorism and proliferation, thereby strengthening financial sector integrity and contributing to safety and security.

This objective can only be achieved if the components of a country’s AML/CFT framework are operating well together.  The intermediate outcomes below represent the thematic goals of an AML/CFT system that is effectively protecting financial sector integrity and contributing to safety and security. 

Intermediate Outcomes






The FATF has then identified three Intermediate Outcomes (major thematic goals; broadly Policy, Preventative and Investigative) and 11 Immediate Outcomes, which feed the Intermediate Outcomes and are the key goals against which effectiveness will be measured. For each of the Immediate Outcomes, the FATF has published Characteristics of an Effective System, Core Issues to be considered and Examples of Information and Specific Factors that could support the conclusions the assessors will reach. There are four possible ratings for each Immediate Outcome: High level of effectiveness; Substantial level of effectiveness; Moderate level of effectiveness; and Low level of effectiveness.

Immediate  Outcomes for each of the three Intermediate Outcomes

Policy

Preventative

Investigative

Risk, Policy, Coordination

Supervision

Financial Intelligence

International Cooperation

Preventive Measures

Money Laundering Investigation & Prosecution

 

Legal Persons and arrangements

Confiscation

 

 

Terrorist financing investigation & prosecution

 

 

Terrorist financing preventive measures & financial sanctions

 

 

Proliferation financial sanction

Explanations to the 11 Items of Immediate Outcomes

1. Risk, Policy , Coordination

Money Laundering and Terrorist financing Risks are understood and where appropriate actions coordinated domestically to combat money laundering and the financing of terrorism and proliferation

2. International Cooperation

International cooperation delivers appropriate information, financial intelligence and evidence and facilitates action against criminals and their assets

3. Supervision

Supervisors appropriately supervise, monitor and regulate Financial Institutions and DNFPBs for compliance with AML/CFT requirements appropriate to their risks

4. Preventive Measures

Financial Institutions and DNFPBs adequately apply  AML/CFT requirements commensurate with their risks and report Suspicious Transactions

5. Legal Persons and Arrangements

Legal Persons and arrangements are prevented from misuse for Money Laundering or Terrorist Financing and information on their beneficial ownership is available to competent authorities without impediments

6. Financial Intelligence

Financial Intelligence and all their information are appropriately used by competent authorities for money laundering and terrorist financing investigations

7. Money Laundering Investigation and Prosecution

Money laundering offences and activities are investigated and offenders are prosecuted and subject to effective, proportionate and dissuasive sanctions

8. Confiscation

Proceeds and Instrumentalities of crime are confiscated

9. Terrorist Financing Investigation & Prosecution

terrorist financing  offences and activities are investigated and offenders are prosecuted and subject to effective, proportionate and dissuasive sanctions

10. Terrorist Financing Preventive Measures and Financial Sanctions

Terrorists, Terrorist organisations and their financiers  are prevented from raising, moving and using funds and from abusing the NPO sector

11. Proliferation Financial Sanctions

Persons and entities involved in the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction are prevented from raising, moving and using funds consistent with relevant UNSCRs


To achieve these intermediate outcomes, the FATF has identified 11 key goals as stated above that an effective AML/CFT framework should achieve.  These key goals or ‘immediate outcomes’ are organised by thematic goal.  During its mutual evaluations, the FATF will assess the effectiveness of a country’s efforts against each of these 11 immediate outcomes.  

The extent to which a country implements the technical requirements of each of the FATF Recommendations remains important, they are after all the building blocks for an effective framework to protect the financial system. 

But, adopting compliant laws and regulations is not sufficient.  Each country must enforce these measures, and ensure that the operational, law enforcement and legal components of an AML/CFT system work together effectively to deliver results: the 11 immediate outcomes. 

During an assessment, the FATF will look for evidence that demonstrates how well all these components are working together in the context of the risks that the country is exposed to.  

The FATF Recommendations set out a comprehensive and consistent framework of measures which countries should implement in order to combat money laundering and terrorist financing, as well as the financing of proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. Countries have diverse legal, administrative and operational frameworks and different financial systems, and so cannot all take identical measures to counter these threats.

The FATF Recommendations, therefore, set an international standard, which countriesshould implement through measures adapted to their particular circumstances. The FATF Standards comprise the Recommendations themselves and their Interpretive Notes, together with the applicable definitions in the Glossary.   

Classification of Countries : FATF

During mutual evaluations, the FATF assesses a country's effectiveness against each IO. The effectiveness ratings can be high (HE), substantial (SE), moderate (ME), or low (LE):

 

·         High: The IO is achieved to a very large extent, with only minor improvements needed

·         Substantial: The IO is achieved to a large extent, with moderate improvements needed

·         Moderate: The IO is achieved to some extent, with major improvements needed

·         Low: The IO is not achieved or achieved to a negligible extent 


The FATF adopted its assessment methodology in 2013 and amended it in 2022. In 2024, the FATF began its fifth round of evaluations using the amended methodology.

The FATF maintains a list of high-risk and other monitored jurisdictions that have strategic deficiencies in their AML/CFT systems. This is a key source of information to assist you meet your obligations relating to countries with “insufficient” AML/CFT systems or measures in place.

 

To achieve global implementation of the FATF Recommendations, the FATF relies on a strong global network of FATF-Style Regional Bodies (FSRBs), in addition to its own 39 members.  The nine FSRBs have an essential role in promoting the effective implementation of the FATF Recommendations by their membership and in providing expertise and input in FATF policy-making.  Over 200 jurisdictions around the world have commited to the FATF Recommendations through the global network of FSRBs and FATF memberships. Since 2007 the ICRG has reviewed 125 countries, and publicly identified (i.e. "listed") 98 countries. Of these 98 countries, 72 have since made the necessary reforms to address their AML/CFT weaknesses and have been removed from the process.

Thus broadly, there are three classes of countries:


1

2

3

FATF Standards Compliant Jurisdictions

High Risk Jurisdictions subject to call for Action

Jurisdictions under Increased Monitoring


Jurisdiction subject to a FATF call on its members and other jurisdictions to apply enhanced due diligence measures proportionate to the risks arising from the jurisdiction

 The FATF identifies jurisdictions with weak measures to combat money laundering and terrorist financing (AML/CFT) in two FATF public documents that are issued three times a year. 

The FATF’s process to publicly list countries with weak AML/CFT regimes has proved effective. As of February 2024, the FATF has reviewed 131 countries and jurisdictions and publicly identified 106 of them. Of these, 82 have since made the necessary reforms to address their AML/CFT weaknesses and have been removed from the process. 


§  Consequences of Being Enlisted in FATF Lists: The enlisted countries are subjected to:

o    Economic sanctions from financial institutions affiliated with FATF (IMF, World Bank, ADB etc.)

o    Problem in getting loans from such financial institutions and countries

o    Reductions in international trade

o    International boycott






Happy Reading



Those who read this, also read:


 

 1.Country  Risk Assessment Framework: World Bank

       2. Country Risk Analysis: The Basel AML Index

       3. National Risk Analysis (NRA) Framework







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